Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.000111 0.000123 0.000134 0.000148 0.000163 0.000179 0.000198
2025-12-21 0.000087 0.000102 0.000120 0.000142 0.000169 0.000201 0.000240
2025-12-28 0.000074 0.000092 0.000114 0.000143 0.000180 0.000226 0.000289
2026-01-04 0.000066 0.000085 0.000110 0.000144 0.000190 0.000251 0.000339
2026-01-11 0.000058 0.000078 0.000104 0.000142 0.000195 0.000269 0.000380
2026-01-18 0.000053 0.000074 0.000101 0.000143 0.000203 0.000291 0.000429
2026-01-25 0.000048 0.000069 0.000097 0.000141 0.000207 0.000306 0.000470
2026-02-01 0.000045 0.000065 0.000094 0.000140 0.000213 0.000326 0.000518
2026-02-08 0.000041 0.000061 0.000090 0.000138 0.000215 0.000339 0.000558
2026-02-15 0.000038 0.000057 0.000086 0.000135 0.000216 0.000350 0.000594
2026-02-22 0.000036 0.000055 0.000085 0.000136 0.000224 0.000372 0.000654
2026-03-01 0.000034 0.000053 0.000084 0.000138 0.000233 0.000399 0.000725
2026-03-08 0.000031 0.000050 0.000081 0.000136 0.000235 0.000412 0.000772
2026-03-15 0.000029 0.000047 0.000076 0.000131 0.000231 0.000417 0.000806
2026-03-22 0.000027 0.000045 0.000075 0.000131 0.000238 0.000442 0.000882
2026-03-29 0.000026 0.000043 0.000074 0.000132 0.000246 0.000469 0.000967
2026-04-05 0.000024 0.000041 0.000072 0.000131 0.000248 0.000485 0.001030
2026-04-12 0.000023 0.000040 0.000070 0.000131 0.000255 0.000511 0.001121
2026-04-19 0.000022 0.000038 0.000068 0.000129 0.000256 0.000526 0.001187
2026-04-26 0.000021 0.000037 0.000067 0.000129 0.000261 0.000549 0.001276
2026-05-03 0.000019 0.000035 0.000065 0.000127 0.000262 0.000562 0.001342
2026-05-10 0.000018 0.000033 0.000062 0.000124 0.000261 0.000572 0.001402
2026-05-17 0.000017 0.000033 0.000062 0.000125 0.000269 0.000603 0.001521